Super Bowl 58 Odds for 2024: Opening Odds for Next Year’s Super Bowl

• See the opening 2024 Super Bowl odds
• Track the Super Bowl 58 odds movement all offseason
• The Kansas City Chiefs opened as the favorites to win the Super Bowl

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This page tracks the past and current Super Bowl 58 odds for all 32 teams in the NFL over the course of the 2023-24 NFL season.

The graph below is generated by averaging the odds to win the Super Bowl from multiple sources and will be updated after each week. Super Bowl 58 will take place on February 11, 2023, at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise, Nevada. This marks the first time Nevada will host the big game.

Odds to Win Super Bowl 58

The Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58. Kansas City is fresh off a Super Bowl 57 victory over the Eagles.

You can see the latest 2024 Super Bowl odds below, and track how all 32 teams’ odds have changed throughout the course of the 2023-24 NFL season with the graph above.

Super Bowl 58 Odds

The Chiefs are currently listed as the favorites to win Super Bowl 58 with +600 odds. Based off those odds, their implied probability to win the Super Bowl is 14.3%. If you placed a $20 bet on Kansas City to win, your potential profit would be $120 with you returning $140.

The Houston Texans, unsurprisingly, opened with the worst odds to win the Super Bowl. The Texans are given +20000 odds to hoist their first Lombardi Trophy. The Cardinals have since joined them at +20000.

These odds will see major movement as the NFL offseason enters free agency and the NFL Draft.

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Here are some notes on the movement of the top contenders for Super Bowl 58:

• [April 24] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds improved from +1500 to +1400 after finalizing a trade to acquire Aaron Rodgers. The odds only shifted slightly because sportsbooks had already made the adjustment based on Rodgers being a Jet. After the former Packers QB said he wanted to be traded to the Jets, sportsbooks adjusted, knowing it was only a matter of time before the trade was official. The Packers saw more significant movement after the trade, fading from +3500 to +5000 with Jordan Love now taking over under center.
• [March 13] An early report has suggested Aaron Rodgers has been traded to the Jets, but the news has yet to be confirmed. That has not stopped the Jets’ Super Bowl odds from continuing to improve, though, as they have now gone from +1800 to +1500.
• [March 8] The Jets’ Super Bowl odds opened at +4000 but have since improved to +1800 after the Packers have granted Aaron Rodgers permission to speak with New York.
• [February 12] After winning Super Bowl 57, the Chiefs’ odds moved from +550 to +600 to win Super Bowl 58. They open the favorites yet again.
• [February 1] Tom Brady has again announced his retirement from the NFL, this time saying it is for real. Tampa Bay’s Super Bowl odds had opened at +3500, but have now plummeted to as long as +6500 following Brady’s announcement.
• [January 31] Denver’s 2024 Super Bowl odds opened at +4000, but improved to as short as +2800 after trading for former Saints head coach Sean Payton. The new head coach will be tasked with fixing Russell Wilson and the pitiful offense the Broncos put on the field last season.
• [January 23] Early Super Bowl 58 odds opened with the Chiefs listed as +550 favorites, followed by the Bills, 49ers, and Eagles.

2024 Super Bowl Favorites

The early favorites to win Super Bowl 58 basically mimic the teams who we saw thrive last season. We have the Chiefs, Bills, 49ers, Eagles, and Bengals as the top five contenders to win the 2024 Super Bowl.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City is fresh off another Super Bowl victory, marking their second Super Bowl championship in the last four years, and third appearance in that same time.

The Chiefs have, once again, opened as the favorites to win the Super Bowl. This marks the fourth straight season the Chiefs have at least opened as the co-favorite to win the Super Bowl.

Philadelphia Eagles

The Eagles will enter the 2023 offseason with many question marks on defense. The team has a lot of soon-to-be free agents, but also a very young core that they will continue to build around.

In spite of nearly winning the Super Bow 57, the Eagles find themselves with just the fourth-best odds to win Super Bowl 58.

Buffalo Bills

The Bills likely peaked too early last season. They are undoubtedly one of the most talented teams in football, but they were in a major decline over the final couple months of the season. There are many possible reasons as to why—extremely traumatic experience with Damar Hamlin’s life in jeopardy, Josh Allen’s elbow injury, Von Miller lost to injury midway through the season—but they will need to avoid that in 2023 if they want a chance at knocking off the Chiefs in the AFC.

Buffalo’s Super Bowl odds opened at +700, the second-best in the league.

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers are about to embark upon a very interesting offseason, where they will see the final pick from the 2022 NFL Draft, who also led them to the NFC Championship game before being knocked out of the game with an injury on the first drive, battle it out with the third-overall pick from the 2022 NFL Draft, who the team gave up three first-round picks and a third-round pick to draft, for the starting job.

San Francisco boasted the league’s best defense last season, but will likely lose some of their starters from that side of the ball. They also have a ton of weapons on offense, including Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk among others, for one of Brock Purdy or Trey Lance to utilize.

The 49ers’ Super Bowl odds opened at +750, the third-best on the board.

Super Bowl Trends

Here are some Super Bowl trends to consider before placing any wagers:

• The AFC has won six of the last nine Super Bowls
• The Patriots, Broncos, or Chiefs have represented the AFC in nine of the last ten Super Bowls; Cincinnati broke the streak in 2022
• The New England Patriots have represented the AFC in four of the last nine Super Bowls, winning three of them
• The AFC’s top seed has advanced to the Super Bowl in seven of the last ten seasons; the no. 2 seed has advanced in two of the last five seasons
• From 2004 to 2019, the starting quarterback for the AFC was either Tom Brady (8), Peyton Manning (4), or Ben Roethlisberger (3) in 15 of the 16 Super Bowls. Joe Flacco was the only other AFC QB to start a Super Bowl in that span. It has now been Patrick Mahomes in three of the last four seasons.
• The Seattle Seahawks are the only NFC team to appear in back-to-back Super Bowls (Super Bowls 48 & 49) since the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowls 31 & 32
• The NFC North has not represented the NFC in the Super Bowl since SB 45 (Green Bay)
• Six of the last ten NFC teams to play in the Super Bowl were the top seed in the conference – Atlanta in Super Bowl 51, Los Angeles in Super Bowl 53, Tampa Bay in Super Bowl 55, and Los Angeles in Super Bowl 56 were not
• The NFC West has sent a team to the Super Bowl in six of the last 11 years

Past Super Bowl Winners

The Kansas City Chiefs, who opened as the favorites to win Super Bowl 57, have played in three of the last four Super Bowls, winning two of them, including the most recent one over the Eagles.

Looking for a full list of historical Super Bowl betting results and odds?

Super Bowl Championships & Appearances

Here are some fun Super Bowl facts:

• Only one team in the AFC South has ever won a Super Bowl: the Indianapolis Colts. All seven other divisions have at least two Super Bowl-winning teams.
• Since moving back to Oakland (from Los Angeles) in 1995, the franchise has not won a Super Bowl and has only made the playoffs five times in those 27 years. The move to Las Vegas has changed their luck a little, as they made the 2022 NFL playoffs.
• The NFC East is the only division where every team has won a Super Bowl.
• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers became the only team to win a home Super Bowl in 2021. Tom Brady led the Bucs to a victory in Super Bowl 56, which was played at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay, Florida. But the LA Rams followed suit in 2022, winning Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium, which is where they played their home games all season.
• The Buffalo Bills were the last non-Patriots AFC East team to play in a Super Bowl, dating back to the 1993 season (Super Bowl 28) when they lost in their fourth consecutive appearance.

Teams Without a Super Bowl

The Bills, Bengals, Vikings, Chargers, and Jaguars all made the playoffs last season, but all fell short. Cincinnati made it all the way to the AFC Championship, narrowly losing to the Chiefs.

Super Bowl Odds FAQ

What are the odds on Super Bowl 58?

The Chiefs have opened as the favorites to win the 2024 Super Bowl.

Who won Super Bowl 2023?

The Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35 in Super Bowl 57.

Where can I bet on Super Bowl 58?

As long as you are physically present in a legal betting state, all online sportsbooks have opened Super Bowl 58 odds for the public to start betting

 

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Archived Super Bowl Odds: 57, 56, 55, 54, 53, 52