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Tigers vs Twins Odds, Predictions & Props to Target (Aug 16)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Aug 15, 2023 · 7:04 PM PDT

Minnesota Twins players celebrating a victory
Aug 13, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Minnesota Twins center fielder Michael A. Taylor (2) and second baseman Jorge Polanco (11) celebrate a victory against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Minnesota Twins are -190 home favorites over the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday, August 16
  • Detroit is 3-1 straight up in the last four games against the Twins
  • The Tigers are also 3-2 SU in the last five games in Minnesota

The Minnesota Twins (63-58, 34-24 home) have a solid lead atop the American League Central Division but lately, the Detroit Tigers (53-66, 27-33 away) have their number.

Beginning a quick two-game home series against Detroit on Tuesday, Minnesota had dropped three games in a row to the Tigers. Detroit was also 3-1 straight up in the club’s last four visits to face the Twins. However, Minnesota rebounded, taking the opener by a 5-3 verdict.

Oddsmakers are backing the division leaders again. Minnesota will be taking the field for the second game of this set as -190 home favorites. The Twins are a dismal 26-32 against the spread at home this season.

Tigers vs Twins Odds

Team Run Line Total Moneyline
Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-135) O 8.5 (-105) +158
Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+115) U 8.5 (-115) -190

First pitch on Wednesday, August 16 at Target Field is set for 1:10pm ET. Minnesota is 31-20 SU as a home favorite this season.

In the MLB public betting trends, the people, like the oddsmakers, are embracing the Twins. Minnesota is drawing 67% of handle and 78% of bets in the spread splits. The Tigers are 21-29 ATS as an away underdog. Moneyline splits are overwhelming backing the Twins at 92% of handle and 77% of bets. Minnesota has gone 1-8 SU in the last nine games against AL opponents.

As far as the total of 8.5 runs,  the public is going overboard for the over. It’s garnering 96% of handle and 78% of bets. The total has gone under in five of Detroit’s last six games.


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Maeda Improving In Second Half

It isn’t showing up in wins. He’s 1-2 over six starts. Still, Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda appears to be finding his groove since the MLB all-star break. He’s lowered his ERA from 5.18 to 2.76 and chopped his WHIP from 1.27 to 0.95. Meanwhile, his strikeouts per nine innings have seen a jump from 9.5 to 11.3.

The veteran has checked opponents on two earned runs or less in five straight starts and eight of his last nine trips to the bump. Maeda is 1-1 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.82 WHIP against Detroit in two starts this season.

Olson vs Maeda

Reese Olson
Kenta Maeda
2-5 Record 6-7
4.45 ERA 4.95
4.78 xERA 3.34
1.14 WHIP 1.11
8.6 SO/W 10.4

In his last start on Aug. 10, Tigers rookie right-hander Reese Olson threw six innings of two-hit shutout ball in beating Maeda and the Twins 3-0 at Comerica Park. It was his first victory since Olson beat the Twins 3-2 on June 24.

That’s right, both of Olson’s MLB victories have come against Minnesota. He’s 2-0 against the Twins with a 0.79 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Facing the rest of MLB, Olson is 0-5 with a 5.29 ERA.

Tigers vs Twins Props

Minnesota is 5-4 straight up in the club’s last nine home games. Based on those numbers, there’s almost a 50-50 chance that the Twins will be batting in the bottom of the ninth inning. Caesars is offering a game prop on whether the home team will bat in the ninth. It’s +100 that Minnesota will and -130 that the Twins won’t.

The first inning during each of Maeda’s last five starts have gone scoreless. FanDuel is offering NRFI odds of -110.

Tigers vs Twins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Run Line Total
08/10/2023 DET 3 MIN 0 DET DET Under
08/09/2023 DET 9 MIIN 5 DET DET Over
08/08/2023 DET 6 MIN 0 DET DET Under
08/07/2023 DET 3 MIN 9 MIN MIN Over
06/25/2023 DET 3 MIN 6 MIN MN Over
06/24/2023 DET 3 MIN 2 DET MIN Under
06/23/2023 DET 1 MIN 4 MIN MIN Under
06/18/2023 MIN 4 DET 6 DET DET Over
06/17/2023 MIN 2 DET 0 MIN MIN Under
06/16/2023 MIN 1 DET 7 DET DET Over

Will it be third-time lucky for Olson against the Twins, or third-time lucky for Minnesota against Detroit? Maeda’s strong form of late is overdue to begin translating into wins. That factor, plus home-field advantage should give the Twins an edge.

Tigers vs Twins Pick: Minnesota Twins (-190).

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