- The Minnesota Twins are -190 home favorites over the Detroit Tigers on Tuesday, August 16
- Detroit is 3-1 straight up in the last four games against the Twins
- The Tigers are also 3-2 SU in the last five games in Minnesota
The Minnesota Twins (63-58, 34-24 home) have a solid lead atop the American League Central Division but lately, the Detroit Tigers (53-66, 27-33 away) have their number.
Beginning a quick two-game home series against Detroit on Tuesday, Minnesota had dropped three games in a row to the Tigers. Detroit was also 3-1 straight up in the club’s last four visits to face the Twins. However, Minnesota rebounded, taking the opener by a 5-3 verdict.
Oddsmakers are backing the division leaders again. Minnesota will be taking the field for the second game of this set as -190 home favorites. The Twins are a dismal 26-32 against the spread at home this season.
Tigers vs Twins Odds
|Detroit Tigers||+1.5 (-135)||O 8.5 (-105)||+158|
|Minnesota Twins||-1.5 (+115)||U 8.5 (-115)||-190|
First pitch on Wednesday, August 16 at Target Field is set for 1:10pm ET. Minnesota is 31-20 SU as a home favorite this season.
In the MLB public betting trends, the people, like the oddsmakers, are embracing the Twins. Minnesota is drawing 67% of handle and 78% of bets in the spread splits. The Tigers are 21-29 ATS as an away underdog. Moneyline splits are overwhelming backing the Twins at 92% of handle and 77% of bets. Minnesota has gone 1-8 SU in the last nine games against AL opponents.
As far as the total of 8.5 runs, the public is going overboard for the over. It’s garnering 96% of handle and 78% of bets. The total has gone under in five of Detroit’s last six games.
Maeda Improving In Second Half
It isn’t showing up in wins. He’s 1-2 over six starts. Still, Twins right-hander Kenta Maeda appears to be finding his groove since the MLB all-star break. He’s lowered his ERA from 5.18 to 2.76 and chopped his WHIP from 1.27 to 0.95. Meanwhile, his strikeouts per nine innings have seen a jump from 9.5 to 11.3.
Kenta Maeda since returning from IL (9 starts):
— MLB Network (@MLBNetwork) August 10, 2023
The veteran has checked opponents on two earned runs or less in five straight starts and eight of his last nine trips to the bump. Maeda is 1-1 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.82 WHIP against Detroit in two starts this season.
Olson vs Maeda
In his last start on Aug. 10, Tigers rookie right-hander Reese Olson threw six innings of two-hit shutout ball in beating Maeda and the Twins 3-0 at Comerica Park. It was his first victory since Olson beat the Twins 3-2 on June 24.
Reese Olson-Kenta Maeda pitching duel broken up by Riley Greene, who sent a Maeda slider 453 feet to right-center for his 10th (and longest) HR this season. pic.twitter.com/dqdYpOr4UN
— Jason Beck (@beckjason) August 10, 2023
That’s right, both of Olson’s MLB victories have come against Minnesota. He’s 2-0 against the Twins with a 0.79 ERA and 0.88 WHIP. Facing the rest of MLB, Olson is 0-5 with a 5.29 ERA.
Tigers vs Twins Props
Minnesota is 5-4 straight up in the club’s last nine home games. Based on those numbers, there’s almost a 50-50 chance that the Twins will be batting in the bottom of the ninth inning. Caesars is offering a game prop on whether the home team will bat in the ninth. It’s +100 that Minnesota will and -130 that the Twins won’t.
The first inning during each of Maeda’s last five starts have gone scoreless. FanDuel is offering NRFI odds of -110.
Tigers vs Twins Recent Results
|08/10/2023||DET 3 MIN 0||DET||DET||Under|
|08/09/2023||DET 9 MIIN 5||DET||DET||Over|
|08/08/2023||DET 6 MIN 0||DET||DET||Under|
|08/07/2023||DET 3 MIN 9||MIN||MIN||Over|
|06/25/2023||DET 3 MIN 6||MIN||MN||Over|
|06/24/2023||DET 3 MIN 2||DET||MIN||Under|
|06/23/2023||DET 1 MIN 4||MIN||MIN||Under|
|06/18/2023||MIN 4 DET 6||DET||DET||Over|
|06/17/2023||MIN 2 DET 0||MIN||MIN||Under|
|06/16/2023||MIN 1 DET 7||DET||DET||Over|
Will it be third-time lucky for Olson against the Twins, or third-time lucky for Minnesota against Detroit? Maeda’s strong form of late is overdue to begin translating into wins. That factor, plus home-field advantage should give the Twins an edge.
Tigers vs Twins Pick: Minnesota Twins (-190).