Upcoming Match-ups

Guardians vs Reds Odds, Picks & Starting Pitchers (Aug 15)

Robert Duff

by Robert Duff in MLB Baseball

Aug 14, 2023 · 6:19 PM PDT

The Cincinnati Reds have won two in a row over the Cleveland Guardians.
Aug 13, 2023; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; Cincinnati Reds shortstop Kevin Newman (28) congratulates pinch runner Tyler Stephenson (37) after scoring a run against the Pittsburgh Pirates during the tenth inning at PNC Park. The Reds won 6-5 in ten innings. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports
  • The Cleveland Guardians are slight -118 away favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in their MLB game on Tuesday, August 15
  • Home teams are 0-4 straight up in the last four games of this all-Ohio series
  • See the Guardians vs Reds odds and picks, below

In terms of being in their home state, both the Cleveland Guardians (57-62 , 61-58 ATS) and Cincinnati Reds (62-58, 75-45 ATS) are home for the next two games. However, in terms of being in their own ballpark, home cooking hasn’t amounted to a hill of beans in the battle of Ohio.

Last season, Cleveland and Cincinnati met four times, twice at home and twice on the road. Home teams were 0-4 straight up and 1-3 against the run line in those games.

Perhaps that explains why oddsmakers are establishing the Guardians as slight -118 road favorites over the Reds in the opener of a two-game series at Cincinnati. Cleveland is 14-4 SU in the last 18 games between the two teams at Great American Ballpark.

Guardians vs Reds Odds

Team Run Line Total Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+142) O 9.5 (-110) -118
Cincinnati Reds +1.5 (-170) U 9.5 (-110) -102

First pitch on Tuesday, August 15 at Great American Ballpark is set for 6:40pm ET. Cincinnati is an MLB-best 75-45 against the spread this season.

In the MLB public betting trends, it’s the hometown Reds that people are leaning into. Cincinnati is drawing 82% of handle and 66% of bets on the run line. The Reds are 26-13 ATS as a road underdog this season. In terms of the moneyline splits, Cincinnati is getting 79% of handle and 72% of bets. Cleveland is 13-11 SU as an away favorite in 2023.

On the total of 9.5 runs, it’s the under that the public is embracing. It’s garnering 62% of handle and 59% of bets. The Guardians have gone under in 57.8% of games this season, the second-highest total in the majors.


Your First Bet is on Caesars, Up to $1,250! Plus Get 1,000 Tier Credits & 1,000 Reward Credits

UP TO $1,250


Odds as of August 14 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to get a great bonus on Tuesday’s Guardians vs Reds game. Bettors in KY can also check out these Kentucky sports betting apps.

Cleveland’s Allen Perfect Against NL Clubs

Guardians rookie left-hander Logan Allen has won one of his past four decisions, but four of his last seven decisions. He’s gone through five innings in each of his past five starts. He’d failed to get through the fifth inning in three starts prior to that stretch.

Allen has served up five home runs through his past 13 innings of work. He’s proven to be a more effective pitcher on the road, going 3-2 with a 3.27 ERA in eight starts. In three starts facing NL clubs, Allen is 2-0 with a 3.21 ERA.

Allen vs Ashcraft

Logan Allen
Graham Ashcraft
5-5 Record 6-7
3.55 ERA 4.95
4.47 xERA 5.08
1.37 WHIP 1.41
2.51 SO/W 1.91

Rebounding from a 3-6 start, Reds right-hander Graham Ashcraft has won three of his last four decisions. Since June 30 he’s worked into the sixth inning in each of his eight starts. Ashcraft is showing a 1.94 ERA over that stretch. He hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of those eight starts.

At home, Ashcraft is 3-6 with a 5.79 ERA in 13 starts. Overall, though, he’s 2-1 with a 2.11 ERA in six starts since the MLB All-Star break. Ashcraft has reduced opposition batting average (.290 to .211) and OPS (.839 to .639) significantly since the first half. At the same time, he’s increased his strikeouts per nine innings from 1.71 to 2.45.

Guardians vs Reds Prediction

The Guardians are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games, but 4-2 SU in their last six against the Reds. In fact, Cleveland is 4-1 SU in the last five games facing an NL Central opponent.

Cincinnati is also scuffling of late, with a 3-9 SU mark through the past 12 games. However, the Reds are 4-1 SU in the last five facing AL Central squads and 8-1 SU in the past nine against AL opposition.

Guardians vs Reds Recent Results

Date Home-Away Moneyline Run Line Total
05/19/2022 CLE 2 CIN 4 CIN CIN Under
05/17/2022 CLE 4 CIN 5 CIN CLE Over
04/13/2022 CIN 3 CLE 7 CLE CLE Over
04/12/2022 CIN 5 CLE 10 CLE CLE Over
08/09/2021 CLE 9 CIN 3 CLE CLE Over
05/08/2021 CLE 9 CIN 2 CLE CLE Over
05/07/2021 CLE 0 CIN 3 CIN CIN Under
04/18/2021 CIN 6 CLE 3 CIN CIN Over
04/17/2022 CIN 3 CLE 2 CIN CIN Under
04/16/2022 CIN 10 CLE 3 CIN CIN Over

Ashcraft and Allen have both been on top of their games in recent starts. At home, Cincinnati goes under 55% of the time. The total has gone under in eight of the last 10 Reds games and 11 of the past 16 Guardians games. That’s the play.

Guardians vs Reds Pick: Under 9.5 runs (-110)

Author Image